Wird im Pulverfaß Nahost wenigstens eine glimmende Lunte gelöscht?

von LePenseur

 

 

Im Moon of Alabama wird über eine bemerkenswerte Initiative der VR China, die traditionell ver-feindeten Nahost-Mächte Saudiarabien und Iran wenigstens wieder in diplomatische Gespräche zu bringen, berichtet:

Regional rivals Iran and Saudi Arabia agree to restore ties after years of tensions

The deal, which will see the two countries reopen embassies in each other’s capitals, was sealed during a meeting in China and announced Friday in a joint communique.

Archrivals Iran and Saudi Arabia agreed Friday to restore diplomatic relations, a dramatic breakthrough brokered by China after years of soaring tensions between the regional rivals.

The deal, which will see the two countries reopen embassies in each other’s capitals, was
sealed during a meeting in China — a boost to Beijing’s efforts to rival the United States as a broker on the global stage.

The agreement also may put a dampener Israel's ongoing efforts to normalize relations with its Arab neighbors.

The talks were held because of a “shared desire to resolve the disagreements between them through dialogue and diplomacy, and in light of their brotherly ties,” according to a joint communique from Tehran, Riyadh and Beijing that was published by the Saudi Press Agency, the country’s official news agency.

The agreement followed intensive negotiations between Ali Shamkhani, a close adviser to Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khameni, and Saudi Arabia’s Minister of State Musaad bin Mohammed Al-Aiban, according to the statement.

It added that the foreign ministers from both countries would “meet to implement this, arrange for the return of their ambassadors, and discuss means of enhancing bilateral relations.”

The joint statement by Saudi Arabia, Iran and China is here:

In response to the noble initiative of His Excellency President Xi Jinping, President of the People’s Republic of China, of China’s support for developing good neighborly relations between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran;

And based on the agreement between His Excellency President Xi Jinping and the leaderships in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the Islamic Republic of Iran, whereby the People’s Republic of China would host and sponsor talks between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran;

Proceeding from their shared desire to resolve the disagreements between them through dialogue and diplomacy, and in light of their brotherly ties; ...

Congrats to China for nudging this deal forward and making it possible.

(Hier weiterlesen) 

Wenigstens eine Lunte wurde ausgetreten. Ansonsten ist die Situation im Nahen Osten aufgrund der derzeitigen innenpolitischen Situation in Israel ohnehin brandgefährlich genug! Denn es wäre nicht das erste Mal in der Geschichte, daß innenpolitische Konflikte durch außenpolitische Aktionen, und zwar für gewöhnlich kriegerischer Art, »gelöst« werden sollen. Was die innenpolitischen Probleme meist nur kurzfristig übertüncht, aber langfristig zwischenstaatliche Probleme schafft, gegenüber denen man sich noch einen Bürgerkrieg als kleineres Übel wünschen möchte!

 

Ein Kommentarposter im Moon of Alabama bringt die geopolitische Dimention gut auf den Punkt:

Earth shattering. The KSA will continue to play both sides to its own advantage, but this indicates that it has chosen a side at a fundamental level. It deeply threatens Israel’s, and by extension, the US’s position in Western Asia. Bad timing for Israel given the domestic upheaval and increased kinetic tensions with Palestinians. So it represents another stretching of the US’s global military position.

There comes a point where the US cannot realistically support Israel, Taiwan, Ukraine and start more trouble it can sustain in places like Georgia or Central Asia. Imperial over-stretch is real and it becomes untenable when the imperial center has to send out far more resources than the imperial periphery sends in. The semi-deindustrialized US empire has the particular problem of being dependent not on the imperial periphery (like say Rome was dependent on Egyptian grain) but on the primary challengers to its empire.

Let’s all hope that Western Asia receives a peace dividend from this, few regions deserve one more than them. Next up will be prying Iraq out of US influence and making the US Syrian deployment untenable. 

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Anm.: KSA: Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Man liest freilich in der Mainstream-Presse nur kleine Meldungen darüber. Die Hoffnung der Medien-macher, durch (beinahe) Totschweigen einen Sachverhalt quasi »inexistent« zu machen, wird sich eher nicht erfüllen — diese Prognose traue ich mich unbesorgt zu machen ...